What Will America Be Like In 2030

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What Will America Be Like In 2030 – There are 30 counties in North Texas, which seems to fit the moniker “The Big D,” especially considering how many people move each year.

LawnStarter says the population is expected to grow by nearly 3 million between 2015 and 2030, more than the current population of the Tampa-St. Petersburg, Florida metro area. The study uses population estimates from the Texas state demographer, which says North Texas will grow by 38 percent over the next 15 years, reaching a population of 10,592,387. That’s right, Chicago, Illinois, currently has a population of 9.5 million.

What Will America Be Like In 2030

What Will America Be Like In 2030

All major cities — Fort Worth, Arlington, Plano and Denton — contribute to those staggering numbers, but Collin County leads the way with a projected 80.3 percent increase through 2030. Rockwall County followed with 75.8 percent, followed by Denton County at 74.5. percent and Kaufman County is 73.4 percent. Two North Texas counties, Cottle and Foard, are expected to lose population between 2015 and 2030.

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Job growth along with top colleges, a strong tax base and an educated workforce are driving these projections. According to Texas demographer Lloyd Potter, suburban counties and growing urban centers are growing more slowly.

“Especially in regions with high migration, growth comes from job opportunities. So increased economic activity creates jobs that attract immigrants,” says Potter.

Receives $21.8 million for a southbound road project along MLK/Cedar Crest Boulevard that improves safety and prevents fatalities.

The funding is part of $817 million in funding from President Joe Baden’s $385 Safe Streets and Roads for All (SS4A) bipartisan Infrastructure Act.

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Martin Luther King Jr. The boulevard has been identified as having the highest rate of serious and fatal pedestrian crashes in the city’s Vision Zero Action Plan and the North Central Texas Government’s Regional Pedestrian Safety Action Plan.

In the last two years alone, five pedestrians have been seriously injured by cars at Martin Luther King Jr. along the boulevard

The plan is to restore the stretch between Fair Park and I-45, reducing it from the current five (each with two lanes in the middle) to four, giving pedestrians more space. the cyclists

What Will America Be Like In 2030

The aim is to reduce the number of accidents and increase the safety of pedestrians. In support of the city’s Racial Equity Initiative, the ad calls it a “transformative project in a safe environment.”

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The project includes $5.25 million from the city, as well as $200,000 from DART to improve bus shelters.

They are not talking about the tram, but Adam Bazaldua, the representative of the neighborhood, said in a statement: “Knowing that this important investment will bring safety, community connectivity and growth, it is a good step to bring it. car to the region,” he says.

The municipality has opted for Vision Zero, an initiative to eliminate traffic accidents and reduce serious accidents.

Other supporting organizations include: North Central Texas Council of Governments (NCTCOG), St. Phillips and the Community Center, the Real Estate Board, DART and the Federal Highway Administration. We already see populations aging and becoming more diverse, but how will these trends play out at the local and regional level? But what if we live longer in the future or have more children? How will these processes affect the population of different cities and states?

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These demographic changes are very important for countries and local communities. Las Vegas is struggling to build enough schools to accommodate the city’s growing population. Meanwhile, Detroit is finding a smart way to downsize to accommodate a shrinking population that may shrink even further.

To help you envision the future, the Urban Center created a tool as part of its Mapping America’s Futures series that presents the state of society through 2030 (the button on the right will take you there). Choose low, medium, or high values ​​for birth, death, and migration—the three factors that drive population change—and the map’s response varies.

All rates are reasonable guesses based on historical trends. In other words, we cannot imagine a future where no children are born and no one dies, but we can imagine a future where people move more or the birth rate drops by 20%. With the app, people can explore a number of possible “what if” scenarios (possible futures) and see how they might play out across the country.

What Will America Be Like In 2030

A future with more births and longer lives is very different from one with fewer children and more deaths. And migration, one of the most difficult things to predict, can change places rapidly, not only in numbers, but also in terms of a place’s racial and ethnic composition, labor force and taxes, and the demand for housing and public services. of course its nature.

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To better understand how population projections can help cities and states plan for change, let’s look at two places on two different paths: Atlanta, Georgia, and Youngstown, Ohio.

Mapping America’s Future divides the country into 740 destination areas: areas tied to local economies, areas that may cross state lines, and metro and rural areas. The main difference between the Youngstown and Atlanta transition zones is what happens when you change the migration rate, which is the ratio of out-migration to in-migration within the United States.

Once an industrial powerhouse, the Youngstown area has been in decline for decades. Many other manufacturing centers, from Milwaukee to Pittsburgh, have slowly gained or lost population over the past decade, following a long-term trend of people moving from the North to the South.

In 2010, the Youngstown tourist area had a population of 762,509, up from 807,265 in 2000. Today’s migration patterns are far from the industrial north and south; Many economic changes have created these trends. If immigration slows, Youngstown can retain its young working-age population.

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To put this into perspective, set the device to reduce migration (and births and deaths), and Youngstown’s population will decrease by only 5 percent by 2030; shift and the field loses 14 percent.

“Fewer people means less demand for housing, which means less property taxes,” said Rolf Pendall, director of Urban’s Metropolitan Center for Housing and Community Policy. And it will put pressure on the state’s resources, because migration will reduce workers, reducing tax revenue to pay for roads, schools, services and public services.

Youngstown is projected to have a high and growing share of its population over 65: 42 percent by 2030 under the non-typical scenario. This is the age at which people retire, which reduces the labor force.

What Will America Be Like In 2030

In Atlanta, the same power has different effects. Atlanta’s visitor base grew by 899,149 people from 2000 to 2010, many attracted by the area’s economic development and mild climate. Other southern areas also grew, including travel areas from southern Virginia to Birmingham, Alabama; Austin, Dallas, Houston and other parts of Texas are affected by high oil and gas prices; and central Florida, which favors tourism and construction.

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Unlike Youngstown, immigration benefits Atlanta and other growing areas. Less migration means the population will grow by 43 percent by 2030, not much, but far less than the 72 percent growth Atlanta will see as people travel across the country in the future. The percentages will not be exact in 2030, but they indicate a constant growth pattern.

“Water scarcity is a growing problem for urban users in Georgia and Texas,” said Pendall. “And the Southeast Atlantic coast is at greatest risk from hurricanes, coastal flooding and the effects of climate change on extreme weather. Many people go to areas where they will be exposed to these dangers. “

Also, like Youngstown, Atlanta will see more people out of the workforce, not because working-age people are leaving, but as a natural consequence of population growth. A portion of the working-age population in a given area may be unemployed, disabled and unable to work, or may be temporarily out of work while attending college, raising a child, or caring for a sick relative. As the population grows, the number of people out of the labor force will also increase, even if this share remains the same.

“With Atlanta, you might think it’s big, the economy and population are growing, but that doesn’t protect you from thinking carefully about the changing dynamics,” said Stephen Martin, senior fellow at the Urban Institute. “Atlanta will also have increased needs like public transportation, schools and workforce development training that they don’t have the resources to handle.”

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Mapping America’s Future also allows users to filter by age and race categories to see how people will change in the future.

US population in 2030

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