12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

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12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future – Today we will review the book The Inevitable: Understanding the 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future by Kevin Kelly. I really enjoyed this book and if you work in technology or are interested in how technology will shape our world in the near future, this is a great read. My copy is full of noteworthy facts, stories, and ideas.

Although it is very difficult to predict exactly how technology will develop in specific terms [1], the nature of technologies such as the web, mobile phones, artificial intelligence and virtual reality point in certain directions and their trends can give us a idea about this. . . There are several trends we can expect the world to gravitate towards, including interactivity and cognitive intelligence (AI) in everything, the shift from ownership to access, the continued increase in duplication and remixing of all media and contents.

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

Kevin Kelly was the founding executive editor of WIRED and currently serves as senior maverick. He is the author of numerous books, including What Technology Wants, Cool Tools: A Catalog of Possibilities and New Rules for the New Economy.

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Kelly argues that perhaps the most important technologies in our lives have not yet been invented, and so when they are we will have to adapt to them and learn to use them. Be prepared to monitor new devices and manage software updates until the end of time, because everything is constantly improving. Instead of railing against this future, it is better to simply accept the fact.

“The AI ​​on the horizon is more like Amazon Web Services: cheap, reliable, industrial-grade digital intelligence that runs after everything… just plug into the grid and get AI like electricity… there’s almost nothing we can’t think of that is some extra IQs can’t be made new, different, or more valuable by discarding them. In fact, predicting the business plans of the next 10,000 startups is easy: take X and add AI “The Inevitable” (Chapter 2: Cognition

The best chess players in the world today are “centaurs,” a combination of artificial intelligence and chess players.

“Of course, the 1997 version of Harry Potter by J.K. Rowling will always be around, but it’s inevitable that fans will write a thousand more fanfiction versions of her books in the decades to come. The more powerful an invention or creation is, the more likely it is to be replaced by more important ones. “In 30 years, the most important cultural works and the most powerful media will be the ones that are most remixed.” The Invitable (Chapter 8: Remix)

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[1] Returning to his story at WIRED, Kelly noted that no one anticipated the enormous amount of user-generated content on the Internet. The advent of artificial intelligence has not completely undermined the performance of human chess players. Quite the opposite. Affordable, super-smart chess programs have inspired more people than ever to play chess, in more tournaments than ever, and players have gotten better than ever.

Deep Blue now has twice as many Grand Masters as when he first defeated Kasparov.

If AI can help humans become better chess players, it can also help us become better pilots, better doctors, better judges, and better teachers.

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

To understand how robot replacement will develop, it is useful to divide our relationship with robots into four categories.

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Men can weave cotton fabrics with great effort, but automatic looms produce perfect fabrics for miles and pennies.

A computerized brain known as an autopilot can fly a 787 plane without assistance for all but seven minutes of a typical flight.

We have adopted absolute reliability in robot manufacturing; We will soon accept the fact that robots can perform even better in service and knowledge work.

Without automation, we couldn’t create a single computer chip, a task that requires precision, control, and constant attention that our animal bodies lack. Likewise, no human being (indeed, no group of humans, regardless of their education) could quickly search every web page in the world to discover a page revealing the price of yesterday’s eggs in Kathmandu.

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We are not giving “good jobs” to robots. In most cases we give them jobs that we could never do ourselves. Without them, these works will remain unfinished.

This is the greatest genius of robot conquest: with the help of robots and computer intelligence, we can do things today that we would not have imagined 150 years ago.

It’s a safe bet that the most profitable companies in 2050 will rely on automation and machines that haven’t yet been invented. That is, we cannot see these jobs from here, because we cannot yet see the machines and technologies that make them possible. Robots create jobs we didn’t even know we wanted to do.

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

One thing a robot can’t do (at least for a long time) is decide what a human wants to do.

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When robots and automation perform our most basic tasks, making it relatively easy to feed, clothe, and shelter us, we are free to ask, “What are humans for?”

Industrialization has done more than extend the average life span of man. A large percentage of the population decides that humans are dancers, full-time musicians, mathematicians, athletes, fashion designers, yoga teachers, fan-fiction writers, and people with unique titles. Your business cards. With the help of our machines we can perform these functions, but obviously sooner or later the machines will also perform these functions.

Then we ask ourselves, “What should we do?” More answers to this question will allow you to dream. It will take several generations for a robot to answer this question.

This post-industrial economy will continue to expand as every person’s job will be (in part) to invent new things which then become repetitive jobs for robots.

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Robot-powered cars and trucks will be ubiquitous in the coming years; This automation will give rise to a new human occupation for former truck drivers Trip Optimizer, a person who modifies traffic algorithms for optimal use of energy and time.

When automatic tracking of all your activities becomes commonplace, a new generation of professional analysts will be created to help you understand the data. And, of course, we’ll need a whole army of robot nannies, dedicated to running your personal robots.

This is not a race against machines. If we run with them, we lose. It’s a race between cars. In the future you will be paid based on how well you work with the robots.

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

Many of the jobs that politicians are fighting to stop robots from doing are jobs that no one really wants to wake up for in the morning.

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They will do jobs that we can’t do at all. They will do jobs we never imagined. And they will help us find new jobs for ourselves, new tasks that expand who we are.

These eight points require a new set of skills for producers. Success no longer comes from mastery of execution. Distribution is almost automatic; All of these are common.

The Great Copier of Heaven takes care of this. Technical copy protection skills are no longer useful because you can’t stop copying.

Ten years ago, a building the size of a small city library with a capacity of 50 petabytes was needed.

The Inevitable: Understanding The 12 Technological Forces That Will Shape Our Future By Kevin Kelly

A universal library will fill your bedroom today. With tomorrow’s technology, everything is in your phone.

When this happens, the library of all libraries will be moving around in your bag or wallet, if not directly attached to your brain via a thin white thread.

Some people living today hope to die before things like this happen, while others, especially young people, want to know why it’s been so long.

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

What will happen when all the books in the world become a fluid fabric of interconnected words and ideas? Four things:

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A classic example is the beer can, whose original shape, form and function have not changed for 80 years.

However, the total content we use per dollar of GDP is decreasing, meaning we use less content to get more value.

As cars become more digital, they will be exchanged, shared and consumed in the same social way we exchange digital media.

When you request a ride, you don’t need to tell Uber where you are; Your phone does it.

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Uber uses drivers’ phones to identify their locations to within centimeters, so Uber can connect you with a nearby driver.

What if you created a distributed currency that was secure, accurate, and reliable without centralization? Because if money can be decentralized, everything can be decentralized.

A platform is a foundation created by a company that allows other companies to build products and services on top of it.

12 Inevitable Tech Forces That Will Shape Our Future

A cloud is a colony of millions of computers linked together to act as one large computer.

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